Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 11.144382 12.716935 14.437097 16.459250 18.772609 21.338015 24.400940
2026-02-08 8.795851 10.808760 13.181000 16.186292 19.897564 24.337767 30.064682
2026-02-15 7.392126 9.574511 12.286478 15.910580 20.637824 26.610294 34.754402
2026-02-22 6.758913 9.144354 12.241839 16.569070 22.476931 30.288586 41.449089
2026-03-01 6.133304 8.616919 11.967016 16.831123 23.740797 33.246778 47.392725
2026-03-08 5.523534 8.025351 11.516464 16.762930 24.485119 35.493333 52.485351
2026-03-15 4.996744 7.485421 11.067217 16.621869 25.067378 37.504919 57.358676
2026-03-22 4.735151 7.299918 11.099856 17.169557 26.684458 41.133336 64.940748
2026-03-29 4.482855 7.098468 11.080154 17.618467 28.165539 44.649312 72.631007
2026-04-05 4.295147 6.975693 11.162224 18.219532 29.917349 48.706431 81.519195
2026-04-12 3.913426 6.505934 10.651919 17.812264 29.982960 50.033000 85.981516
2026-04-19 3.597041 6.114547 10.232455 17.510740 30.182711 51.570632 90.897227
2026-04-26 3.310691 5.753383 9.839368 17.229130 30.406312 53.190056 96.149924
2026-05-03 3.052309 5.418360 9.462465 16.940541 30.586604 54.738069 101.399469
2026-05-10 2.820608 5.110132 9.105243 16.651739 30.731569 56.216399 106.622663
2026-05-17 2.761109 5.105499 9.282052 17.341691 32.717744 61.183971 118.832769
2026-05-24 2.644494 4.985587 9.239248 17.616273 33.940549 64.819332 128.779640
2026-05-31 2.490015 4.781850 9.024936 17.544819 34.487346 67.201355 136.440955
2026-06-07 2.338746 4.572111 8.782588 17.397014 34.866674 69.276761 143.645547
2026-06-14 2.287374 4.552691 8.902153 17.970897 36.729594 74.429684 157.652079
2026-06-21 2.226132 4.508497 8.968941 18.441294 38.414961 79.349139 171.590314
2026-06-28 2.185263 4.501993 9.109081 19.071150 40.478851 85.205637 188.062311
2026-07-05 2.036297 4.261543 8.758136 18.644371 40.263040 86.240783 193.977564